[MUD-Dev] Room for more? (was RE: Dragon Empires is cancelled)

[Tamzen Cannoy]

At 11:56 AM -0400 9/20/04, Lee Sheldon wrote,
> Michael Sellers wrote:

>>  Mark Jacobs talked about this at length in an informal
>>  discussion at the Austin Game Conference.  He has pretty good
>>  numbers to show that the market is far from saturated.

>>  It will be interesting to see how things go as WoW and EQ2 come
>>  out, but my bet is that the market will continue to expand to
>>  account for upwards of 80% of their playerbase.  I don't see a
>>  new consolidation of players (i.e., growth by cannibalization)
>>  coming soon.

> Mark and I made this bet in Austin. First we compromised on what
> we consider is the size of the current North American MMO
> marketbase, placing it at 1.25 million (my figure was closer to
> 1.4). From that he says the market will grow 30% overall with the
> introduction of WoW and EQ2. We compromised also at the point at
> which the numbers would be more than new product spikes, settling
> on 3 months from release of both games (I wanted 6). I said that
> it would be less due to cannibalization.

I'm in the closed WoW beta. It's the first MMORPG I've ever
played. I'm not alone in this from other beta testers that I've
talked to. There is a considerable fraction of the people there
who've never played on one before. Part of this is definitely due to
the fact that like all Blizzard games, it was multi-platform from
day one, and that there is a fairly high percentage of Mac users
(like me and my husband). Now I know they hand picked the testers to
get things balanced all around but still it's very interesting to
see so many Mac users who've been so shut out in general from other
games. I will buy it and play at retail release, something I never
thought I'd say about what is still only a graphical MUD. :)

--
---
Tamzen

"To announce that there must be no criticism of the president, or
that we are to stand by the president, right or wrong, is not only
unpatriotic and servile, but is morally treasonable to the American
public."  -- Theodore Roosevelt, 1918
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